Betting Lines
| Spread | KENN -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | KENN -1350 GAST +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENN +23 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | KENN -15.0 (+8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.0 (-5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENN -13.1 (+9.9) | 151.6 (+9.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENN -12.0 (+11.0) | 149.6 (+11.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENN -13.4 (+9.6) | 151.6 (+9.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENN -15.5 (+7.5) | 156.2 (+4.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2024 | KENN 81 – 77 GAST |
| Dec 2, 2023 | KENN 88 – 77 GAST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-3 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-8 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.0 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#213) | -13.1 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#204) | -3.38 (#350) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#223) | -4.80 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#277) | 0.384 (#330) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 34.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 25.8% |
| REB / G | 42.2 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 40.0% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 38.9% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 37.4% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 63.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 44.8% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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