Betting Lines
| Spread | L-MD -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | L-MD -215 DSU +178 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | L-MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DSU +6 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | L-MD -7.8 (-13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (+11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | L-MD -5.4 (-11.4) | 140.4 (+11.6) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | L-MD -4.2 (-10.2) | 138.8 (+13.2) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | L-MD -4.2 (-10.2) | 138.7 (+13.3) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | L-MD -3.2 (-9.2) | 141.2 (+10.8) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2024 | DSU 80 – 77 L-MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | L-MD | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-8 |
| Home | 2-11 | 7-5 |
| Away | 5-13 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.2 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#287) | -7.8 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#313) | -1.67 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.08 (#317) | -2.74 (#308) |
| RPI | 0.379 (#327) | 0.408 (#300) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | L-MD | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.8% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 31.8% |
Game Analysis
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