Betting Lines
| Spread | L-MD -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | DSU +115 L-MD -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DSU +3 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | L-MD -1.7 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (+12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | L-MD -0.2 (+3.2) | 140.3 (+16.7) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | L-MD -0.9 (+3.9) | 140.4 (+16.6) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | L-MD -1.0 (+4.0) | 138.6 (+18.4) | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | L-MD -0.8 (+3.8) | 138.0 (+19.0) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2023 | DSU 79 – 73 L-MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DSU | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-2 | 7-7 |
| Away | 3-11 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -12.1 (#345) | -5.6 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.29 (#338) | -0.51 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.29 (#337) | -0.99 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.419 (#300) | 0.474 (#215) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DSU | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 27.6% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.2% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.4% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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