Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 169.5 Under |
| Money | RICE -2500 HCU +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +9 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | RICE -17.4 (-8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 169.4 (-48.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -14.9 (-5.9) | 151.9 (-30.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -12.4 (-3.4) | 154.9 (-33.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -13.6 (-4.6) | 154.9 (-33.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -14.6 (-5.6) | 152.1 (-31.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2024 | RICE 61 – 58 HCU |
| Nov 22, 2022 | RICE 76 – 67 HCU |
| Dec 12, 2021 | RICE 88 – 73 HCU |
| Dec 15, 2020 | RICE 90 – 79 HCU |
| Dec 6, 2020 | RICE 86 – 64 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 6-23 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 4-14 |
| Home | 6-10 | 5-8 |
| Away | 5-7 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L5 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 84.8 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#266) | -16.4 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#240) | -4.53 (#360) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#236) | -6.28 (#360) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#150) | 0.371 (#335) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 21.4% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.1% | 57.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 65.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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