Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -14.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | RICE -1300 HCU +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +11 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | RICE -24.6 (-13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (+26.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -17.2 (-6.2) | 145.3 (+23.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -19.2 (-8.2) | 142.4 (+26.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -22.8 (-11.8) | 142.3 (+26.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -22.3 (-11.3) | 141.1 (+27.9) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2024 | RICE 61 – 58 HCU |
| Dec 2, 2023 | RICE 65 – 56 HCU |
| Nov 22, 2022 | RICE 76 – 67 HCU |
| Dec 12, 2021 | RICE 88 – 73 HCU |
| Dec 6, 2020 | RICE 86 – 64 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 0-4 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#71) | -12.2 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#116) | -2.14 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#118) | -3.28 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.353 (#290) | 0.430 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 26.3% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 57.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.4% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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