Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +15 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | RICE -8.9 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (+15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -8.7 (-6.3) | 148.1 (+12.9) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -7.1 (-7.9) | 145.5 (+15.5) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -6.3 (-8.7) | 145.8 (+15.2) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -7.9 (-7.1) | 145.5 (+15.5) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2024 | RICE 61 – 58 HCU |
| Dec 2, 2023 | RICE 65 – 56 HCU |
| Nov 22, 2022 | RICE 76 – 67 HCU |
| Dec 15, 2020 | RICE 90 – 79 HCU |
| Dec 6, 2020 | RICE 86 – 64 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Massey | -14.2 (#347) | -0.4 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.18 (#345) | -0.14 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.48 (#344) | -0.27 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.389 (#326) | 0.496 (#179) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.0% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 25.6% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.48 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.5% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 27.0% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.5% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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