Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | HCU +550 RICE -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +3 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | RICE -5.7 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (-13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -6.3 (+3.3) | 133.8 (-14.8) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -3.7 (+0.7) | 134.1 (-15.1) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -4.2 (+1.2) | 134.5 (-15.5) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -5.3 (+2.3) | 132.0 (-13.0) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2023 | RICE 65 – 56 HCU |
| Nov 22, 2022 | RICE 76 – 67 HCU |
| Dec 12, 2021 | RICE 88 – 73 HCU |
| Dec 15, 2020 | RICE 90 – 79 HCU |
| Dec 6, 2020 | RICE 86 – 64 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-7 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-12 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 70.3 |
| Massey | -11.1 (#336) | 0.9 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#248) | 0.26 (#162) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#245) | 0.21 (#175) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#165) | 0.431 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 29.5% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 23.1% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 41.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.52 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 35.7% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 12.3% | 39.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 64.5% | 43.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.7% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.