Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | RICE -1000 HCU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +9 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | RICE -13.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.5 (-20.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -9.5 (-0.5) | 143.2 (-0.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -9.4 (-0.4) | 152.6 (-9.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -10.6 (-1.6) | 156.0 (-13.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -9.7 (-0.7) | 151.4 (-8.4) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2024 | RICE 61 – 58 HCU |
| Dec 2, 2023 | RICE 65 – 56 HCU |
| Dec 12, 2021 | RICE 88 – 73 HCU |
| Dec 15, 2020 | RICE 90 – 79 HCU |
| Dec 6, 2020 | RICE 86 – 64 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-7 | 8-8 |
| Away | 6-7 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 85.0 |
| Massey | -10.6 (#342) | -16.5 (#362) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#203) | -4.03 (#361) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#224) | -6.04 (#361) |
| RPI | 0.394 (#286) | 0.274 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 24.5% |
| ORB% | 19.5% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 13.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 63.6% | 58.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 61.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.4% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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