Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 164.0 Under |
| Money | HCU +380 RICE -475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +22 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | RICE -8.3 (-13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -6.2 (-15.8) | 138.2 (+11.8) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -8.5 (-13.5) | 140.2 (+9.8) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -11.9 (-10.1) | 141.4 (+8.6) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2024 | RICE 61 – 58 HCU |
| Dec 2, 2023 | RICE 65 – 56 HCU |
| Nov 22, 2022 | RICE 76 – 67 HCU |
| Dec 12, 2021 | RICE 88 – 73 HCU |
| Dec 15, 2020 | RICE 90 – 79 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 1-0 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#247) | 8.9 (#32) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#172) | 1.27 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#161) | 1.75 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#114) | 0.375 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.7% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 15.4% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 25.3% | 23.2% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 36.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.5% | 41.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 24.1% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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