Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | MASS -292 USF +235 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +10 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -17.3 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (-25.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -12.3 (-2.3) | 144.2 (-22.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -14.5 (-4.5) | 146.7 (-24.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -14.2 (-4.2) | 146.0 (-24.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -15.0 (-5.0) | 149.8 (-27.8) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2022 | MASS 73 – 67 USF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | USF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 16-2 |
| Home | 13-3 | 15-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#51) | -2.2 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#123) | -2.20 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#107) | -2.80 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#74) | 0.353 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | USF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 24.5% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 15.2 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 2.46 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 11.8% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 37.9% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.6% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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