Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | USF +110 MASS -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +6 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | MASS -1.4 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.1 (+9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -1.8 (-4.2) | 131.3 (+8.7) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -0.6 (-5.4) | 134.2 (+5.8) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -0.9 (-5.1) | 134.3 (+5.7) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -0.6 (-5.4) | 133.1 (+6.9) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2023 | MASS 66 – 56 USF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USF | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-9 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#238) | 4.8 (#91) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.41 (#326) | 2.03 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.88 (#314) | 2.53 (#71) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#286) | 0.602 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USF | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 39.8% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.0% | 15.8% |
Game Analysis
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