Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | PRIN -300 FUR +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +1 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -23.5 (-22.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.7 (-16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -20.8 (-19.8) | 147.9 (-8.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -19.2 (-18.2) | 151.5 (-12.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -18.6 (-17.6) | 151.2 (-12.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -15.0 (-14.0) | 147.9 (-8.9) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2024 | FUR 69 – 63 PRIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-5 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-1 | 12-3 |
| Away | 11-3 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 76.7 |
| Massey | 16.2 (#10) | -1.1 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.78 (#1) | 0.14 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.75 (#2) | 0.51 (#162) |
| RPI | 0.705 (#4) | 0.483 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.9% | 56.1% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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