Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | FUR +105 PRIN -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +6 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -6.8 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -6.6 (-0.6) | 137.2 (-5.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -6.7 (-0.7) | 139.3 (-7.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -6.6 (-0.6) | 137.0 (-5.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -5.2 (+0.8) | 138.7 (-6.7) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2023 | PRIN 70 – 69 FUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 19-11 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-6 |
| Home | 13-3 | 9-4 |
| Away | 9-6 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#105) | 2.1 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.79 (#28) | 1.04 (#92) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.20 (#47) | 1.21 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.622 (#34) | 0.541 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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