Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -22.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | ARIZ -10000 COLG +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +27 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -28.8 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (-4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -20.8 (+6.2) | 141.7 (-4.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -21.8 (+5.2) | 141.1 (-4.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -24.4 (+2.6) | 141.6 (-4.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -23.8 (+3.2) | 140.8 (-3.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 16-2 |
| Home | 15-1 | 13-3 |
| Away | 7-4 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.1 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 64.9 |
| Massey | 24.7 (#1) | 2.2 (#135) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.17 (#14) | 0.41 (#149) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.78 (#13) | 0.50 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.623 (#36) | 0.495 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.4% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 47.5 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 15.3 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 42.6% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.2% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 80.4% | 77.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.1% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.