Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | GTWN +400 TCU -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GTWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +1 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | TCU -5.4 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -4.9 (+3.9) | 154.6 (+12.4) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -3.2 (+2.2) | 150.2 (+16.8) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -4.4 (+3.4) | 151.8 (+15.2) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -3.6 (+2.6) | 155.0 (+12.0) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2021 | TCU 80 – 73 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GTWN | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-12 | 12-4 |
| Away | 2-10 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.9 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#200) | 10.5 (#35) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#220) | 1.07 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#175) | 1.62 (#93) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#242) | 0.443 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GTWN | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 53.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 58.7% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 37.1% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 25.3% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 14.9% |
Game Analysis
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