Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | GTWN +115 TCU -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GTWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +7 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | TCU -0.7 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (+13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -0.4 (-6.6) | 143.6 (+9.4) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GTWN -0.3 (-7.3) | 142.8 (+10.2) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GTWN -0.2 (-7.2) | 143.7 (+9.3) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -0.3 (-6.7) | 142.9 (+10.1) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2023 | TCU 84 – 83 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GTWN | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 0-19 | 8-10 |
| Home | 6-11 | 12-4 |
| Away | 0-11 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L21 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 64.9 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#156) | 6.3 (#75) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#217) | 2.02 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#224) | 2.19 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#204) | 0.591 (#54) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GTWN | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 39.6% | 27.9% |
| REB / G | 42.1 | 42.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 15.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 40.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.0% | 15.4% |
Game Analysis
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