Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUF -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | CSUF -175 UND +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUF +10 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | CSUF -6.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (-22.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUF -3.5 (+6.5) | 141.5 (-23.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUF -2.9 (+7.1) | 142.5 (-24.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUF -2.9 (+7.1) | 142.0 (-24.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUF -2.6 (+7.4) | 144.9 (-26.9) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2022 | UND 73 – 57 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 10-6 |
| Home | 7-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-10 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#283) | -6.1 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#221) | 1.87 (#52) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#240) | 1.90 (#80) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#151) | 0.624 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.2% | 24.2% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.58 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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