Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | BCU +100 UIW +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +14 | 178 | Won |
| Massey | UIW -3.0 (+17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (+32.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIW -2.8 (+16.8) | 144.8 (+33.2) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIW -2.7 (+16.7) | 142.8 (+35.2) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UIW -3.2 (+17.2) | 144.6 (+33.4) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIW -2.2 (+16.2) | 146.1 (+31.9) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2022 | UIW 77 – 65 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 3-15 |
| Home | 11-2 | 5-8 |
| Away | 5-11 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 79.3 |
| Massey | -13.0 (#344) | -3.8 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.87 (#344) | -0.69 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.52 (#347) | -1.30 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.345 (#343) | 0.466 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.56 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.3% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.8% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 39.6% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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