Betting Lines
| Spread | UIW -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | UIW +110 BCU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIW +12 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | UIW -6.4 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.2 (+8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIW -4.2 (+7.8) | 136.5 (+5.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIW -3.7 (+8.3) | 136.5 (+5.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIW -3.7 (+8.3) | 136.2 (+5.8) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIW -3.2 (+8.8) | 135.9 (+6.1) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2023 | BCU 96 – 82 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -11.5 (#336) | -12.9 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#272) | -1.01 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#302) | -1.36 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#251) | 0.419 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.3% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.5% | 43.1% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 15.7% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 62.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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