Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
| Money | UCSD +700 SDSU -1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +1 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | SDSU -9.9 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.3 (-28.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDSU -6.2 (+5.2) | 150.7 (-25.7) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -6.8 (+5.8) | 147.6 (-22.6) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -6.2 (+5.2) | 146.5 (-21.5) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDSU -9.8 (+8.8) | 149.2 (-24.2) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2024 | SDSU 63 – 58 UCSD |
| Dec 21, 2022 | SDSU 62 – 46 UCSD |
| Dec 23, 2021 | SDSU 78 – 57 UCSD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSD | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 26-11 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-2 | 14-1 |
| Away | 7-7 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#243) | 12.5 (#24) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#243) | 2.30 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#224) | 3.67 (#25) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#246) | 0.637 (#27) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSD | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 35.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 63.3% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.