Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | UNCO -200 CSUN +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +4 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -1.9 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.2 (-8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -2.0 (+2.0) | 148.1 (-2.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -1.0 (+3.0) | 146.7 (-0.7) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -1.4 (+2.6) | 147.6 (-1.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -0.8 (+3.2) | 149.4 (-3.4) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2022 | UNCO 70 – 63 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-11 |
| Home | 11-3 | 9-7 |
| Away | 7-8 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#278) | -1.5 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.02 (#319) | -0.24 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.64 (#334) | -1.00 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.388 (#322) | 0.424 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 26.7% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 40.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 78.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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