Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | CSUN +110 UNCO -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +7 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUN -7.0 (-14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (-14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -2.3 (-9.3) | 141.7 (-8.7) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -3.1 (-10.1) | 143.1 (-10.1) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -3.5 (-10.5) | 143.6 (-10.6) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -3.6 (-10.6) | 143.3 (-10.3) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2023 | UNCO 75 – 71 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 6-12 |
| Home | 7-8 | 6-7 |
| Away | 0-14 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.2 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#236) | -5.3 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.75 (#358) | 1.13 (#96) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.41 (#359) | 1.15 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.296 (#363) | 0.571 (#80) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.7% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 26.9% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 29.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 6.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.0% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 20.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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