Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -16.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | LSU -1700 SELA +950 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +7 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -15.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (-9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -12.6 (-5.6) | 144.8 (-5.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -11.2 (-4.2) | 145.6 (-6.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -11.8 (-4.8) | 145.7 (-6.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -12.4 (-5.4) | 144.9 (-5.9) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | LSU 78 – 65 SELA |
| Dec 1, 2020 | LSU 96 – 43 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-6 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#134) | -6.6 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#172) | -3.02 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#139) | -3.79 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#155) | 0.410 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 43.6% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 56.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.1% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 63.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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