Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -27.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Under |
| Money | LSU -10000 SELA +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +53 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -15.6 (+37.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.6 (-18.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -9.8 (+43.2) | 143.3 (-4.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -9.4 (+43.6) | 148.7 (-9.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -10.5 (+42.5) | 150.3 (-11.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -20.2 (+32.8) | 145.3 (-6.3) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | LSU 78 – 65 SELA |
| Dec 2, 2023 | LSU 73 – 66 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-10 | 8-18 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 5-10 |
| Home | 11-2 | 3-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.8 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 77.7 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#48) | 1.8 (#98) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#83) | -0.72 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#79) | -0.94 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#64) | 0.500 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.7% | 34.3% |
| 3PT% | 42.0% | 10.2% |
| REB / G | 27.0 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 17.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.72 | 0.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 62.3% | 36.2% |
| TOV% | 13.3% | 24.4% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 34.5% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 63.3% | 56.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 27.8% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 77.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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