Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -24.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | LSU -9000 SELA +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +13 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -27.4 (-14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (-4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -21.1 (-8.1) | 142.6 (+0.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -22.8 (-9.8) | 142.3 (+0.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -25.0 (-12.0) | 142.8 (+0.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -25.4 (-12.4) | 143.5 (-0.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2023 | LSU 73 – 66 SELA |
| Dec 1, 2020 | LSU 96 – 43 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 6-16 |
| Home | 9-8 | 5-7 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 15.4 (#29) | -7.7 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.78 (#23) | -1.82 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.78 (#28) | -2.70 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.612 (#36) | 0.410 (#317) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.6% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 26.6% |
| REB / G | 41.2 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 32.5% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 34.6% |
Game Analysis
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