Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Under |
| Money | BOIS +130 SMC -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +3 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | SMC -0.6 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -0.4 (+3.4) | 128.1 (-5.1) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -0.0 (+3.0) | 130.4 (-7.4) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -0.0 (+3.0) | 130.7 (-7.7) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -0.6 (+3.6) | 130.0 (-7.0) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2025 | BOIS 68 – 67 SMC |
| Dec 15, 2024 | BOIS 67 – 65 SMC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 15-1 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-4 |
| Away | 7-3 | 9-0 |
| Neutral | 2-5 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 60.2 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#130) | 3.2 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#134) | -0.62 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#121) | 0.23 (#179) |
| RPI | 0.611 (#44) | 0.494 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 40.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 15.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 39.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 15.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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