Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | BOIS +120 SMC -142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +1 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | SMC -1.2 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.9 (+1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -0.3 (+1.3) | 137.7 (-2.7) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -0.4 (+1.4) | 134.4 (+0.6) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -0.8 (+1.8) | 136.1 (-1.1) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -0.8 (+0.2) | 134.9 (+0.1) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2024 | BOIS 67 – 65 SMC |
| Dec 2, 2023 | BOIS 63 – 60 SMC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 27-6 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 16-2 |
| Home | 12-4 | 17-0 |
| Away | 6-5 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 65.2 |
| Massey | 12.3 (#37) | 13.6 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#53) | 3.60 (#12) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.20 (#42) | 5.07 (#13) |
| RPI | 0.614 (#34) | 0.688 (#5) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 38.7% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 40.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 38.5% |
| FT Rate | 32.6% | 33.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 44.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 77.4% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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