Betting Lines
| Spread | PRES -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | VMI +138 PRES -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VMI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRES +4 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | VMI -2.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (-4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VMI -0.9 (-4.9) | 146.4 (-0.4) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VMI -1.3 (-5.3) | 142.1 (+3.9) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VMI -1.7 (-5.7) | 142.9 (+3.1) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VMI -0.1 (-4.1) | 146.4 (-0.4) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2022 | PRES 72 – 57 VMI |
| Nov 24, 2021 | PRES 59 – 54 VMI |
| Nov 13, 2021 | PRES 73 – 72 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VMI | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 6-10 |
| Home | 4-10 | 8-7 |
| Away | 0-15 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L13 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.9 | 74.6 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#299) | -3.4 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.35 (#352) | -0.38 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.03 (#350) | -0.75 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.330 (#350) | 0.431 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VMI | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.2% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.51 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 23.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 15.5% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 31.4% |
Game Analysis
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