Betting Lines
| Spread | PRES -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | PRES -200 VMI +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRES +15 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | PRES -7.4 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (-9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRES -2.1 (+12.9) | 133.9 (-4.9) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRES -3.6 (+11.4) | 136.6 (-7.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRES -3.3 (+11.7) | 137.1 (-8.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRES -3.5 (+11.5) | 135.8 (-6.8) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2023 | PRES 75 – 71 VMI |
| Nov 24, 2021 | PRES 59 – 54 VMI |
| Nov 13, 2021 | PRES 73 – 72 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRES | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 2-16 |
| Home | 5-9 | 6-8 |
| Away | 0-15 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L18 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 78.4 |
| Massey | -10.2 (#332) | -11.2 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.59 (#354) | -2.90 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.45 (#356) | -4.28 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.339 (#347) | 0.328 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRES | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.2% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 24.1% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.61 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.3% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 23.3% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 57.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 12.6% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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