Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | OHIO -300 DEL +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +1 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -5.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.9 (-6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -4.5 (-3.5) | 147.3 (-0.3) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -5.4 (-4.4) | 146.7 (+0.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -4.9 (-3.9) | 149.0 (-2.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -4.2 (-3.2) | 151.2 (-4.2) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2022 | OHIO 95 – 76 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-3 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#110) | 4.3 (#104) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#165) | 1.08 (#96) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#133) | 1.22 (#112) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#207) | 0.562 (#88) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.3% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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