Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | DEL -125 OHIO +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +19 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | DEL -4.2 (-23.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (+30.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -1.3 (-20.3) | 141.6 (+29.4) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -4.0 (-23.0) | 141.0 (+30.0) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -4.5 (-23.5) | 141.2 (+29.8) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -4.0 (-23.0) | 141.2 (+29.8) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2023 | OHIO 74 – 73 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 14-1 |
| Away | 4-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 77.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#183) | 0.0 (#170) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#126) | 0.27 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#134) | 0.33 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#123) | 0.493 (#194) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 14.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.7% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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