Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Over |
| Money | UMBC +100 LEH -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UMBC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UMBC +5 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | UMBC -2.7 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.3 (+16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UMBC -2.3 (+2.7) | 153.9 (+25.1) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UMBC -3.6 (+1.4) | 151.3 (+27.7) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UMBC -4.4 (+0.6) | 155.4 (+23.6) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UMBC -3.9 (+1.1) | 156.4 (+22.6) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2022 | UMBC 88 – 62 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UMBC | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 6-9 | 6-7 |
| Away | 5-12 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.5 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#306) | -4.0 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#293) | -4.13 (#359) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.45 (#299) | -6.18 (#359) |
| RPI | 0.362 (#337) | 0.402 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UMBC | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.