I remember one night the kid cut off his right arm in a bid to save a bit of power. "So It Goes" - Nick Lowe
Merkert Gymnasium · December 2, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread BING -2.5 Away covered
O/U 147.5 Under
Money STO +150 / BING -138
Model Predictions
Spread Total STO win
Actual BING +15 143 Lost
Massey BING -2.8 (-12.2) — —
Massey Totals — 153.3 (-10.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 45% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 46% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BING -3.7 (-11.3) 147.7 (-4.7) 30% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML BING -3.2 (-11.8) 148.3 (-5.3) 37% ✓
Baseline ML BING -2.9 (-12.1) 148.8 (-5.8) 33% ✓
Baseline Plus ML BING -2.5 (-12.5) 148.5 (-5.5) 36% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 3, 2022 STO 69 – 66 BING

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings STO BING
Overall 4-27 15-15
Conference 2-14 7-9
Home 4-8 10-4
Away 0-19 5-11
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 0-5 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 63.5 69.7
Avg Pts Against 76.1 73.8
Massey -13.2 (#347) -4.1 (#253)
Bradley-Terry -1.48 (#288) -0.03 (#196)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.01 (#284) -0.41 (#216)
RPI 0.459 (#237) 0.476 (#214)
Shooting & Four Factors STO BING
FG% 40.2% 43.0%
3PT% 31.3% 28.1%
REB / G 29.6 34.4
OREB / G 7.2 9.1
AST / TO 0.76 1.01
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.3% 47.8%
TOV% 20.5% 19.3%
ORB% 20.6% 25.8%
FT Rate 16.5% 23.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 59.3% 50.9%
Opp TOV% 17.0% 16.2%
DRB% 67.3% 70.0%
Opp FT Rate 18.2% 24.3%

Game Analysis

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