Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | SHU -300 BU +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +21 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | SHU -10.4 (-31.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.3 (-20.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -5.4 (-26.4) | 142.2 (-23.2) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -6.4 (-27.4) | 138.1 (-19.1) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -6.2 (-27.2) | 137.8 (-18.8) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -4.0 (-25.0) | 140.1 (-21.1) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2024 | SHU 73 – 65 BU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | BU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-5 | 9-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#171) | -4.2 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#241) | -0.78 (#249) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#245) | -0.30 (#212) |
| RPI | 0.415 (#289) | 0.389 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | BU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 37.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 43.5% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 76.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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