Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | BU -240 SHU +195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +8 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | BU -7.7 (-15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -5.0 (-13.0) | 136.4 (+1.6) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BU -5.1 (-13.1) | 137.4 (+0.6) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -4.9 (-12.9) | 137.5 (+0.5) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -4.5 (-12.5) | 135.9 (+2.1) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2023 | BU 70 – 49 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BU | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-10 |
| Home | 12-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#248) | -6.4 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#289) | -1.42 (#294) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.92 (#283) | -2.14 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#289) | 0.379 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BU | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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