Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
| Money | WVU +175 SJU -210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +6 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | SJU -0.4 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (+8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -0.1 (-6.1) | 138.6 (+13.4) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -0.5 (-6.5) | 138.7 (+13.3) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -0.5 (-5.5) | 140.0 (+12.0) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -0.3 (-5.7) | 138.6 (+13.4) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 11-9 |
| Home | 9-9 | 11-4 |
| Away | 0-9 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#190) | 5.8 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#204) | 0.63 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#192) | 0.53 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#182) | 0.552 (#105) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.1% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 41.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 17.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.7% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 45.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 15.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.5% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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