See my tailor, he's called Simon, I know it's going to fit. "Sex & Drugs & Rock & Roll" - Ian Dury
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–15 on winners spread MAE 9.9 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Washington @ Colorado State +3.9 154.8 67% 81–86 ✓
Austin Peay @ Tennessee State +9.3 134.3 81% 65–69 ✓
Sacramento State @ Long Beach State +10.6 147.7 82% 73–83 ✓
Milwaukee @ Green Bay +8.4 141.1 78% 58–70 ✓
Yale @ Vermont +3.9 134.0 70% 65–66 ✓
Western Carolina @ Gardner-Webb +0.5 137.1 59% 77–82 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Merrimack -5.9 138.6 33% 68–74 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Marshall +9.8 146.2 80% 79–74 ✗
Santa Clara @ California -3.6 141.5 35% 69–84 ✗
George Mason @ Toledo +5.8 144.3 68% 86–77 ✗
Temple @ Saint Joseph's +3.3 152.5 60% 65–74 ✓
Wofford @ Middle Tennessee +6.1 137.3 68% 74–64 ✗
Rhode Island @ Providence +16.1 144.2 88% 69–84 ✓
Tulsa @ Oral Roberts +3.9 145.2 74% 70–79 ✓
Lindenwood @ Idaho State +9.4 129.4 82% 70–76 ✓
Dartmouth @ UAlbany +9.4 144.0 85% 68–73 ✓
UT Arlington @ Grand Canyon +12.9 148.5 88% 69–76 ✓
New Mexico State @ New Mexico +21.2 155.9 90% 62–106 ✓
UC Irvine @ Utah State +6.0 139.5 77% 69–79 ✓
Utah Valley @ Utah Tech +1.9 139.3 64% 53–65 ✓
Gonzaga @ USC -1.6 143.4 35% 89–76 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Nevada +12.2 149.1 84% 59–73 ✓
Brown @ Maine +3.7 135.9 58% 49–60 ✓
Columbia @ New Hampshire +5.0 147.3 72% 71–80 ✓
Siena @ Mount St. Mary's +12.1 133.0 84% 48–80 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Canisius +2.9 130.7 64% 54–52 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Cincinnati +18.0 145.1 89% 62–99 ✓
Tulane @ Fordham +2.9 147.9 57% 89–81 ✗
Auburn @ App State -1.3 143.3 45% 64–69 ✗
Coppin State @ Navy +12.2 125.4 85% 52–75 ✓
Longwood @ Morgan State -10.3 145.3 17% 88–54 ✓
Clemson @ Pittsburgh +5.9 144.2 57% 79–70 ✗
Stetson @ Chicago State -6.1 135.3 28% 54–77 ✗
South Dakota @ Western Illinois -1.3 146.7 32% 70–68 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Niagara -0.3 148.4 37% 75–68 ✓
Manhattan @ Marist +8.0 132.8 84% 56–70 ✓
Fairfield @ Rider +3.9 138.2 48% 88–81 ✗
Elon @ Radford +10.9 144.9 84% 72–82 ✓
Murray State @ Illinois State +3.1 137.0 68% 72–76 ✓
San Francisco @ Arizona State -0.4 132.2 57% 61–72 ✗
East Tennessee State @ Jacksonville State +5.1 126.3 57% 61–59 ✗
East Texas A&M @ SMU +12.7 137.6 87% 47–90 ✓
Wichita State @ Missouri +4.8 143.4 71% 72–82 ✓
Creighton @ Nebraska -1.0 145.5 27% 89–60 ✓
Southern @ Mississippi State +21.6 140.0 89% 60–59 ✗
Louisville @ Virginia Tech +15.5 147.6 88% 68–75 ✓
Air Force @ Portland +3.1 137.1 65% 80–58 ✗
Chattanooga @ Morehead State +4.6 138.3 68% 80–87 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Western Kentucky +8.2 144.4 76% 69–79 ✓
Pepperdine @ Colorado +12.9 147.1 84% 66–91 ✓
Lamar @ Sam Houston +9.4 154.4 85% 70–90 ✓
Minnesota @ Ohio State +14.0 141.1 87% 74–84 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.