I don't know why I let that mean woman make me a fool. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
Broadview Center · December 3, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread UALB -3.5 Home covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money UALB -175 / DART +200
Model Predictions
Spread Total UALB win
Actual UALB +5 141 Won
Massey UALB -17.4 (-12.4)
Massey Totals 143.0 (-2.0)
Bradley-Terry 97%
Weighted B-T 98%
Baseline Plus ML UALB -13.2 (-8.2) 140.2 (+0.8) 87%
Baseline ML UALB -14.4 (-9.4) 140.1 (+0.9) 88%
Baseline Tuned ML UALB -13.0 (-8.0) 139.9 (+1.1) 87%
Efficiency Plus ML UALB -9.4 (-4.4) 144.0 (-3.0) 85%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 13, 2024 UALB 8773 DART

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UALB DART
Overall 13-19 6-21
Conference 5-11 2-12
Home 7-5 6-7
Away 4-13 0-14
Neutral 2-1 0-0
Last 5 3-2 0-4
Streak L3 W1
Avg Pts For 78.0 60.6
Avg Pts Against 79.4 73.2
Massey 0.5 (#163) -10.9 (#337)
Bradley-Terry 0.86 (#112) -1.43 (#288)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.88 (#135) -1.44 (#260)
RPI 0.540 (#119) 0.411 (#300)
Shooting & Four Factors UALB DART
FG% 43.1% 36.9%
3PT% 35.0% 23.1%
REB / G 37.9 32.0
OREB / G 11.4 8.2
AST / TO 0.89 0.81
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.8% 41.7%
TOV% 18.2% 17.9%
ORB% 32.5% 22.0%
FT Rate 26.0% 15.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.1% 55.3%
Opp TOV% 14.1% 13.7%
DRB% 69.8% 76.0%
Opp FT Rate 26.4% 18.3%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.