Betting Lines
| Spread | DART -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | DART -210 UALB +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UALB +14 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | DART -9.5 (-23.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (+17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DART -6.2 (-20.2) | 140.0 (+20.0) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DART -11.1 (-25.1) | 140.8 (+19.2) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DART -8.2 (-22.2) | 142.9 (+17.1) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2023 | UALB 73 – 68 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DART | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-14 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 8-8 |
| Home | 9-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 5-9 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#246) | -1.8 (#210) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#150) | -0.56 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#156) | -0.75 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#125) | 0.250 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DART | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 36.7% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 16.7% |
| REB / G | 45.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 40.0% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 13.3% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 46.6% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 86.1% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.9% | 36.0% |
Game Analysis
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