Betting Lines
| Spread | UTU -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | UTU +110 UVU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTU +12 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | UTU -4.9 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (-24.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTU -1.9 (+10.1) | 139.3 (-21.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTU -2.9 (+9.1) | 139.1 (-21.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTU -2.7 (+9.3) | 139.4 (-21.4) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTU -2.1 (+9.9) | 141.0 (-23.0) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UVU 104 – 101 UTU |
| Feb 13, 2026 | UTU 81 – 77 UVU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UVU 92 – 76 UTU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | UVU 74 – 57 UTU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UVU 79 – 77 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 11-9 |
| Home | 6-7 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-13 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#218) | -0.9 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#79) | 1.21 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.51 (#93) | 1.16 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#90) | 0.577 (#78) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 24.2% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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