The juice of the carrot, the smile of the parrot / A little drop of claret - anything that rocks "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
Pinnacle Bank Arena · December 3, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread CREI -5.0 Away covered
O/U 150.5 Under
Money NEB +170 / CREI -205
Model Predictions
Spread Total NEB win
Actual CREI +29 149 Lost
Massey CREI -2.3 (-26.7)
Massey Totals 149.2 (-0.2)
Bradley-Terry 83%
Weighted B-T 87%
Baseline Plus ML NEB -0.2 (-29.2) 144.6 (+4.4) 39%
Model 4 ML CREI -1.0 (-28.0) 145.5 (+3.5) 27%
Model 3 ML NEB -1.0 (-30.0) 145.9 (+3.1) 52%
Baseline ML NEB -0.5 (-29.5) 145.5 (+3.5) 44%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 7, 2025 NEB 7150 CREI
Nov 23, 2024 NEB 7463 CREI
Dec 4, 2022 NEB 6353 CREI
Nov 17, 2021 CREI 7769 NEB
Dec 12, 2020 CREI 9874 NEB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NEB CREI
Overall 23-11 25-10
Conference 12-8 14-6
Home 18-1 14-2
Away 3-8 8-4
Neutral 2-2 3-4
Last 5 5-0 4-1
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 77.7 80.4
Avg Pts Against 70.9 69.9
Massey 7.9 (#57) 16.2 (#10)
Bradley-Terry 2.68 (#26) 2.29 (#33)
W. Bradley-Terry 4.07 (#22) 3.62 (#29)
RPI 0.581 (#72) 0.602 (#51)
Shooting & Four Factors NEB CREI
FG% 45.7% 50.0%
3PT% 34.5% 40.0%
REB / G 42.9 40.7
OREB / G 12.1 9.6
AST / TO 1.71 1.69
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.0% 60.0%
TOV% 14.5% 14.7%
ORB% 34.4% 30.2%
FT Rate 33.1% 18.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 41.0% 45.2%
Opp TOV% 15.2% 11.6%
DRB% 73.4% 79.9%
Opp FT Rate 16.4% 9.4%

Game Analysis

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