You just want to be on the side that's winning. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Pinnacle Bank Arena · December 3, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread CREI -5.0 Away covered
O/U 150.5 Under
Money NEB +170 / CREI -205
Model Predictions
Spread Total NEB win
Actual CREI +29 149 Lost
Massey CREI -2.3 (-26.7) — —
Massey Totals — 149.2 (-0.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 83% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 87% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML NEB -1.0 (-30.0) 145.9 (+3.1) 52% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CREI -1.0 (-28.0) 145.5 (+3.5) 27% ✓
Baseline Plus ML NEB -0.2 (-29.2) 144.6 (+4.4) 39% ✓
Baseline ML NEB -0.5 (-29.5) 145.5 (+3.5) 44% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 7, 2025 NEB 71 – 50 CREI
Nov 23, 2024 NEB 74 – 63 CREI
Dec 4, 2022 NEB 63 – 53 CREI
Nov 17, 2021 CREI 77 – 69 NEB
Dec 12, 2020 CREI 98 – 74 NEB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NEB CREI
Overall 23-11 25-10
Conference 12-8 14-6
Home 18-1 14-2
Away 3-8 8-4
Neutral 2-2 3-4
Last 5 5-0 4-1
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 77.7 80.4
Avg Pts Against 70.9 69.9
Massey 7.9 (#57) 16.2 (#10)
Bradley-Terry 2.68 (#26) 2.29 (#33)
W. Bradley-Terry 4.07 (#22) 3.62 (#29)
RPI 0.581 (#72) 0.602 (#51)
Shooting & Four Factors NEB CREI
FG% 45.7% 50.0%
3PT% 34.5% 40.0%
REB / G 42.9 40.7
OREB / G 12.1 9.6
AST / TO 1.71 1.69
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.0% 60.0%
TOV% 14.5% 14.7%
ORB% 34.4% 30.2%
FT Rate 33.1% 18.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 41.0% 45.2%
Opp TOV% 15.2% 11.6%
DRB% 73.4% 79.9%
Opp FT Rate 16.4% 9.4%

Game Analysis

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