Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | NEB -225 CREI +185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +21 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -8.3 (+12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.3 (-32.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -8.7 (+12.3) | 146.5 (-25.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -6.6 (+14.4) | 151.9 (-30.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -8.0 (+13.0) | 149.1 (-28.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -8.9 (+12.1) | 147.3 (-26.3) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2024 | NEB 74 – 63 CREI |
| Dec 3, 2023 | CREI 89 – 60 NEB |
| Dec 4, 2022 | NEB 63 – 53 CREI |
| Nov 17, 2021 | CREI 77 – 69 NEB |
| Dec 12, 2020 | CREI 98 – 74 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 9-11 |
| Home | 16-2 | 10-6 |
| Away | 7-3 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#57) | 6.8 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.80 (#8) | 0.74 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.50 (#10) | 1.26 (#112) |
| RPI | 0.686 (#4) | 0.537 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.86 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.0% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.0% | 13.1% |
Game Analysis
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