Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | GB +130 MILW -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GB +12 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | GB -14.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (-17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GB -8.4 (+3.6) | 141.1 (-13.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GB -9.1 (+2.9) | 140.9 (-12.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GB -9.1 (+2.9) | 140.5 (-12.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GB -9.4 (+2.6) | 138.3 (-10.3) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | MILW 75 – 72 GB |
| Jan 6, 2026 | GB 79 – 76 MILW |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MILW 70 – 59 GB |
| Dec 12, 2024 | MILW 88 – 67 GB |
| Mar 8, 2024 | MILW 95 – 84 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 12-4 |
| Away | 8-8 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 79.5 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#200) | -10.0 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#240) | -1.88 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#253) | -3.42 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#253) | 0.417 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 15.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 22.8% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 36.2% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.6% | 57.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 9.4% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 57.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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