Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | JXST -150 ETSU +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETSU +2 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | JXST -8.3 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.5 (-3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -5.1 (-7.1) | 126.3 (-6.3) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -6.1 (-8.1) | 129.8 (-9.8) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -6.4 (-8.4) | 127.0 (-7.0) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -6.0 (-8.0) | 128.2 (-8.2) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | JXST 81 – 75 ETSU |
| Dec 3, 2022 | JXST 63 – 61 ETSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-7 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-10 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#185) | -2.7 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#229) | 0.12 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#212) | 0.17 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.423 (#286) | 0.490 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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