Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | MRMK +220 UML -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +6 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | UML -3.1 (+9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (+3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -1.0 (+7.0) | 138.4 (+3.6) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UML -2.0 (+8.0) | 140.1 (+1.9) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -1.5 (+7.5) | 139.7 (+2.3) | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -5.9 (+11.9) | 138.6 (+3.4) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2024 | UML 81 – 74 MRMK |
| Nov 30, 2022 | UML 77 – 51 MRMK |
| Dec 5, 2021 | UML 61 – 57 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 11-5 |
| Home | 13-2 | 12-3 |
| Away | 7-9 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.8 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.6 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#177) | 8.9 (#48) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#223) | 2.86 (#22) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#184) | 4.61 (#18) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#227) | 0.563 (#94) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.2% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 44.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.