Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +4 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | MRMK -2.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 117.2 (+0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -1.8 (-5.8) | 126.4 (-8.4) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -2.0 (-6.0) | 127.6 (-9.6) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -2.4 (-6.4) | 126.1 (-8.1) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -0.6 (-3.4) | 125.9 (-7.9) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2024 | UML 81 – 74 MRMK |
| Dec 3, 2023 | MRMK 74 – 68 UML |
| Nov 30, 2022 | UML 77 – 51 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-7 | 8-6 |
| Away | 8-9 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 58.9 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#237) | -0.0 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#247) | 0.13 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#271) | -0.84 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#273) | 0.513 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.8% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 26.6 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.1 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 18.2% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 16.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.9% | 23.6% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 33.5% |
Game Analysis
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