I remember one night the kid cut off his right arm in a bid to save a bit of power. "So It Goes" - Nick Lowe
Colorado State Rams
86 81
FINAL Neutral Legends of Basketball Las Vegas Invitational
Washington Huskies
MGM Grand Garden Arena (Neutral) · December 3, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread CSU -3.5 Home covered
O/U 157.5 Over
Money CSU -175 / WASH +138
Model Predictions
Spread Total CSU win
Actual CSU +5 167 Won
Massey CSU -5.8 (-0.8)
Massey Totals 158.9 (+8.1)
Bradley-Terry 93%
Weighted B-T 98%
Baseline Plus ML CSU -6.0 (-1.0) 157.6 (+9.4) 79%
Baseline ML CSU -5.8 (-0.8) 153.8 (+13.2) 78%
Baseline Tuned ML CSU -6.9 (-1.9) 154.4 (+12.6) 80%
Efficiency Plus ML CSU -5.8 (-0.8) 157.6 (+9.4) 73%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 28, 2024 WASH 7367 CSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CSU WASH
Overall 25-11 17-15
Conference 10-8 9-11
Home 15-2 10-6
Away 4-7 5-6
Neutral 6-2 2-3
Last 5 5-0 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.0 80.6
Avg Pts Against 67.9 77.1
Massey 16.1 (#11) 10.3 (#38)
Bradley-Terry 3.68 (#6) 1.03 (#95)
W. Bradley-Terry 5.72 (#4) 2.05 (#70)
RPI 0.698 (#4) 0.584 (#69)
Shooting & Four Factors CSU WASH
FG% 53.5% 47.1%
3PT% 39.4% 28.6%
REB / G 31.1 39.8
OREB / G 5.1 11.0
AST / TO 2.09 1.36
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 61.1% 52.1%
TOV% 13.9% 16.1%
ORB% 18.0% 31.4%
FT Rate 26.1% 26.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.7% 43.1%
Opp TOV% 19.5% 16.8%
DRB% 74.3% 67.1%
Opp FT Rate 22.6% 26.2%

Game Analysis

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