Betting Lines
| Spread | STET -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | CHST +300 STET -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHST +23 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | STET -6.6 (+29.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (-5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STET -6.1 (+29.1) | 135.3 (-4.3) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STET -3.8 (+26.8) | 136.7 (-5.7) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STET -4.5 (+27.5) | 139.7 (-8.7) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STET -3.2 (+26.2) | 135.0 (-4.0) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2024 | CHST 77 – 70 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHST | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 0-0 | 11-5 |
| Home | 6-5 | 14-2 |
| Away | 5-12 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#338) | 1.5 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.18 (#350) | 1.49 (#70) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.03 (#351) | 0.96 (#129) |
| RPI | 0.329 (#358) | 0.598 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHST | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.2% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 13.0% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 63.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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