Twenty-one years in captivity / His shoes too small to fit his feet "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Insight Credit Union Arena at Edmunds Center · January 16, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread STET -9.5 Away covered
O/U 137.5 Over
Money STET -600 / CHST +400
Model Predictions
Spread Total STET win
Actual CHST +7 147 Lost
Massey STET -10.7 (-17.7) — —
Massey Totals — 136.8 (+10.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 92% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 95% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ STET -8.9 (-15.9) 135.2 (+11.8) 79% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML STET -9.3 (-16.3) 137.9 (+9.1) 83% ✗
Baseline ML STET -9.4 (-16.4) 137.7 (+9.3) 83% ✗
Baseline Plus ML STET -10.2 (-17.2) 136.2 (+10.8) 80% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 3, 2023 CHST 77 – 54 STET

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings STET CHST
Overall 22-13 13-19
Conference 11-5 0-0
Home 14-2 6-5
Away 6-10 5-12
Neutral 2-1 2-2
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.8 65.2
Avg Pts Against 75.6 71.6
Massey -0.7 (#181) -7.5 (#294)
Bradley-Terry 0.55 (#133) -1.14 (#278)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.24 (#162) -1.82 (#302)
RPI 0.544 (#102) 0.448 (#263)
Shooting & Four Factors STET CHST
FG% 44.1% 40.2%
3PT% 36.1% 29.8%
REB / G 31.5 31.6
OREB / G 8.8 11.3
AST / TO 1.14 0.69
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.1% 45.4%
TOV% 17.6% 20.6%
ORB% 27.1% 31.6%
FT Rate 22.4% 26.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.0% 52.6%
Opp TOV% 14.9% 22.0%
DRB% 66.1% 65.2%
Opp FT Rate 21.0% 25.3%

Game Analysis

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