I know you're dissatisfied with your position and your place. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
E.A. Diddle Arena · December 3, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread WKU -4.5 Home covered
O/U 156.5 Under
Money WKU -180 / EKU +152
Model Predictions
Spread Total WKU win
Actual WKU +10 148 Won
Massey WKU -14.2 (-4.2)
Massey Totals 141.8 (+6.2)
Bradley-Terry 97%
Weighted B-T 99%
Efficiency Plus ML WKU -8.2 (+1.8) 144.4 (+3.6) 76%
Baseline Tuned ML WKU -10.7 (-0.7) 141.4 (+6.6) 83%
Baseline ML WKU -10.8 (-0.8) 142.3 (+5.7) 81%
Baseline Plus ML WKU -10.6 (-0.6) 146.4 (+1.6) 82%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 11, 2025 WKU 8779 EKU
Nov 11, 2022 WKU 6660 EKU
Dec 5, 2021 WKU 8580 EKU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WKU EKU
Overall 22-12 17-14
Conference 8-8 12-4
Home 12-2 13-4
Away 6-7 4-10
Neutral 4-3 0-0
Last 5 2-3 1-2
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 78.8 76.5
Avg Pts Against 74.7 77.4
Massey -1.0 (#199) -9.3 (#325)
Bradley-Terry 0.31 (#156) -1.90 (#309)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.03 (#194) -3.13 (#319)
RPI 0.519 (#146) 0.348 (#350)
Shooting & Four Factors WKU EKU
FG% 41.8% 38.4%
3PT% 20.5% 32.1%
REB / G 37.8 44.3
OREB / G 13.0 16.0
AST / TO 0.60 1.18
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.3% 44.3%
TOV% 17.8% 15.1%
ORB% 32.7% 34.3%
FT Rate 23.1% 13.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.3% 48.6%
Opp TOV% 21.3% 15.3%
DRB% 69.7% 65.4%
Opp FT Rate 34.4% 14.4%

Game Analysis

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